This post showing the power of SUPPLY and DEMAND Area as confirmation of LST's Divergence. The live trade showing a single trade (No scale-in this time) gained 70 Pips over night.
In this post I'd
like to show an example The power of Supply and Demand area as taught by Sam
Seiden. I use it heavily and always be my first TP during scale in.
As I repeatedly
state that recently Pairs movement have shifted to end of Asian session and
sometimes after red box of US session (I assume you familiar with MMM Method).
I used to tie my
trading time to London session following typical Pairs intraday movement taught
by Steve Mauro in his MMM that movement during Asian session is range consolidation movement around 25 pips range while the true movement is during
London Session. After London Session The move will retrace back in to tight
consolidation range.
But this is not
always happen like this.
We should have not
tie our selves to an un-flexible things like this (remember that SM also said
that blue and red box is only a guide of sessions).
Many times the move
has began before Asian session and some times the big movement started after US
session while the move after Asian session could be straight trade continuation
or stop hunt retrace then continue to reach ADR. Scroll back a few days and
you'll see my point.
I'd rather then tie
my self to price action instead of session, no matter what time the setup
settle.
Here we'll see an
example of Short GBPUSD during US session. I'll point out how Supply and Demand
area play its part in to this trading. I didn't scale in this time because the
trade was taken during US session before going to bed and reach its TP at the
end of Asian Box which was my office hour.
Here is the situations and confirmations triggered by LST bearish divergence that lead to Short trade
The circle - 1 on
May 8 has created a strong Supply area sign by the hollow grey box (it was
solid grey before revisited by price). Remember the criteria: How Strong, How
Fast and How Far the price left the area. Later during US session on May 10
(Circle -2) the price rejected by this area several times. This circle-2
coincidentally at the same area of R-1 of MMM and right at Upper trend line.
The shave of M15
candle showing a clear rejection in this area. M1 chart was showing more sign.
The divergence indicator would draw its line after the price clearly move of
the top.
As LST taught, this
whole situation have more than enough of a confirmation to Bearish Divergence
signal.
I placed two orders (yellow dashed line)
after the first failed test of the high (Circle-2) and place Take Profit (Red Dashed line Circle-4) down above
the Demand area created by Circle - 3 then go to bed. I'd like to point out that
the short placed at Supply Area and Take Profit at Demand Area.
I set the stop loss (Red Dashed line)
tightly just about 4 pips above the high but the stop of the 2 orders was
separated by less than 1 pips. I use drag and drop SL/TP so it was just an
estimation using cross-hair and not set by input numbers modifying the ST/TP.
One of the order has
its Stop being taken out while the other one still alive
This is the
importance to place extra pips to the Stop Loss as around this area the spread
are widen. many times I see the spread of GBPUSD that normally 3-3.4 can widen
jumping back and forth to to 5 pips while the price just didn't move. When you
opt to agree your Broker TOS there is a section stated that during volatile
hours the spread could be wider. Maybe this is a hole to be exploited as SM
said Stop-Hunt.
So I turned in after
placing 2 orders at Supply Area and TP at the next clear Strong
Demand area. The next day at my office (at 7 local time Mat 11st, 22.00 GMT May
10th ) I check the chart and set SL a little bit lower/slightly above the order line/above lower swing hight.
Later the TP taken
out right after Asian Box (Circle-4)
excellent info
ReplyDeletethanks
VP
YW
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